Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NAC Breda win with a probability of 38.1%. A win for Roda JC had a probability of 36.83% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a NAC Breda win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.37%) and 2-0 (6.01%). The likeliest Roda JC win was 1-2 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
