SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roda JC win with a probability of 44.3%. A win for Heracles had a probability of 32.15% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roda JC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.55%) and 2-0 (6.41%). The likeliest Heracles win was 1-2 (7.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Roda JC | Draw | Heracles |
44.3% ( -4.73) | 23.55% ( 0.95) | 32.15% ( 3.78) |
| Both teams to score 61.85% ( -1.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.16% ( -2.47) | 39.84% ( 2.47) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.8% ( -2.61) | 62.19% ( 2.61) |
| Roda JC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.68% ( -2.75) | 18.32% ( 2.75) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.59% ( -4.89) | 49.41% ( 4.88) |
| Heracles Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.72% ( 1.13) | 24.28% ( -1.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.35% ( 1.57) | 58.65% ( -1.58) |
| Score Analysis |
| Roda JC | Draw | Heracles |
| 2-1 @ 9.07% ( -0.31) 1-0 @ 7.55% ( 0.19)2-0 @ 6.41% ( -0.44)3-1 @ 5.13% ( -0.68)3-2 @ 3.63% ( -0.35)3-0 @ 3.63% ( -0.62)4-1 @ 2.18% ( -0.53)4-2 @ 1.54% ( -0.31)4-0 @ 1.54% ( -0.44)Other @ 3.64% Total : 44.3% | 1-1 @ 10.68% ( 0.6) 2-2 @ 6.42% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.45% ( 0.49)3-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.1)Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.54% | 1-2 @ 7.56% ( 0.66) 0-1 @ 6.3% ( 0.88)0-2 @ 4.46% ( 0.74)1-3 @ 3.57% ( 0.42)2-3 @ 3.03% ( 0.1)0-3 @ 2.1% ( 0.41)1-4 @ 1.26% ( 0.18)2-4 @ 1.07% ( 0.07)Other @ 2.8% Total : 32.15% |
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