Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roda JC win with a probability of 63.71%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for VVV-Venlo had a probability of 16.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roda JC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.64%) and 1-0 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.05%), while for a VVV-Venlo win it was 1-2 (4.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Roda JC in this match.
0.11) 
-0.16) 
