Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a De Graafschap win with a probability of 43.11%. A win for Telstar had a probability of 31.73% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.01%) and 0-2 (7.13%). The likeliest Telstar win was 1-0 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for De Graafschap in this match.