Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a VVV-Venlo win with a probability of 44.18%. A win for Dordrecht had a probability of 32.14% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a VVV-Venlo win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.69%) and 2-0 (6.47%). The likeliest Dordrecht win was 1-2 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.79%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that VVV-Venlo would win this match.
0.01) 
-0.03) 
