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EFL Cup | First Round
Aug 9, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Kingsmeadow
CC

AFC Wimbledon
2 - 1
Coventry

Bugiel (86'), McLean (90+2')
Lewis (17'), Tilley (28'), Ball (61')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Godden (17' pen.)
Howley (45+3')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Grimsby Town 0-0 AFC Wimbledon
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Leicester 2-1 Coventry
Sunday, August 6 at 12pm in Championship

We said: AFC Wimbledon 1-4 Coventry City

While Robins will inevitably rotate his squad for this fixture, their current strength in depth means that it should work to their advantage. Wimbledon may threaten for a time, but we feel that the Sky Blues will run out convincing winners. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coventry City win with a probability of 49.22%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 25.63% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Coventry City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.43%) and 0-2 (8.86%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.

Result
AFC WimbledonDrawCoventry City
25.63% (1.324 1.32) 25.14% (1.095 1.1) 49.22% (-2.421 -2.42)
Both teams to score 51.99% (-2.118 -2.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.22% (-3.434 -3.43)50.78% (3.433 3.43)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.32% (-3.107 -3.11)72.67% (3.105 3.11)
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.52% (-0.73400000000001 -0.73)34.47% (0.733 0.73)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.81% (-0.789 -0.79)71.19% (0.789 0.79)
Coventry City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.35% (-2.32 -2.32)20.65% (2.319 2.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.78% (-3.794 -3.79)53.22% (3.793 3.79)
Score Analysis
    AFC Wimbledon 25.63%
    Coventry City 49.21%
    Draw 25.13%
AFC WimbledonDrawCoventry City
1-0 @ 7.58% (0.861 0.86)
2-1 @ 6.37% (0.175 0.18)
2-0 @ 4.04% (0.387 0.39)
3-1 @ 2.26% (0.018 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.78% (-0.12 -0.12)
3-0 @ 1.43% (0.111 0.11)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 25.63%
1-1 @ 11.95% (0.55 0.55)
0-0 @ 7.12% (0.934 0.93)
2-2 @ 5.02% (-0.231 -0.23)
3-3 @ 0.94% (-0.138 -0.14)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.13%
0-1 @ 11.22% (0.73 0.73)
1-2 @ 9.43% (-0.238 -0.24)
0-2 @ 8.86% (-0.044 -0.04)
1-3 @ 4.96% (-0.51 -0.51)
0-3 @ 4.66% (-0.376 -0.38)
2-3 @ 2.64% (-0.33 -0.33)
1-4 @ 1.96% (-0.364 -0.36)
0-4 @ 1.84% (-0.298 -0.3)
2-4 @ 1.04% (-0.218 -0.22)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 49.21%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Grimsby Town 0-0 AFC Wimbledon
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 1-1 QPR
Saturday, July 22 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Grimsby Town 1-0 AFC Wimbledon
Monday, May 8 at 12.30pm in League Two
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 1-1 Tranmere
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 1-5 Swindon
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Stevenage 2-1 AFC Wimbledon
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Leicester 2-1 Coventry
Sunday, August 6 at 12pm in Championship
Last Game: Exeter 1-2 Coventry
Saturday, July 29 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: MK Dons 1-5 Coventry
Tuesday, July 25 at 7.45pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Shrewsbury 1-1 Coventry
Saturday, July 22 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Forest Green 0-4 Coventry
Tuesday, July 18 at 7pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Coventry 1-1 Luton (5-6 pen.)
Saturday, May 27 at 4.45pm in Championship


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