Cheltenham were unsuccessful during their opening game of the League One season, but an unbeaten home record since February will be hard for Birmingham to break.
Blues travel to face the Robins for the second time in less than a month, and we believe Eustace's men will have enough quality in their squad on the night to book a place in round two.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 51.09%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 25.15% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.67%) and 0-2 (8.47%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 (6.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Birmingham City would win this match.
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