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Championship | Gameweek 1
Aug 5, 2023 at 3pm UK
Swansea.com Stadium
BL

Swansea
1 - 1
Birmingham

Yates (76')
Paterson (2')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Dembele (45')
T (27'), Sunjic (87'), Miyoshi (90+4'), Bielik (90+5')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Reading 0-4 Swansea
Saturday, July 29 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Peterborough 3-2 Birmingham
Saturday, July 29 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1

We said: Swansea City 2-1 Birmingham City

Swansea look like a force to be reckoned with this term after adding the goals of Yates to their attack - could 2023-24 finally be the campaign that the Swans earn promotion? Birmingham's route to the Premier League is unlikely to be complete by May, and supporters may have to be a little patient before seeing significant improvements on the pitch. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 48.05%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 26.85% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.39%) and 2-0 (8.45%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 0-1 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.

Result
Swansea CityDrawBirmingham City
48.05% (0.416 0.42) 25.09% (0.154 0.15) 26.85% (-0.572 -0.57)
Both teams to score 53.19% (-0.948 -0.95)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.29% (-1.032 -1.03)49.7% (1.03 1.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.28% (-0.93 -0.93)71.72% (0.928 0.93)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.29% (-0.23999999999999 -0.24)20.71% (0.238 0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.68% (-0.377 -0.38)53.31% (0.376 0.38)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.08% (-0.992 -0.99)32.91% (0.99 0.99)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.51% (-1.118 -1.12)69.48% (1.115 1.12)
Score Analysis
    Swansea City 48.05%
    Birmingham City 26.85%
    Draw 25.09%
Swansea CityDrawBirmingham City
1-0 @ 10.73% (0.37 0.37)
2-1 @ 9.39% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 8.45% (0.229 0.23)
3-1 @ 4.93% (-0.034 -0.03)
3-0 @ 4.44% (0.089 0.09)
3-2 @ 2.74% (-0.095 -0.1)
4-1 @ 1.94% (-0.028 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.75% (0.022 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.08% (-0.046 -0.05)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 48.05%
1-1 @ 11.92% (0.09 0.09)
0-0 @ 6.82% (0.281 0.28)
2-2 @ 5.22% (-0.142 -0.14)
3-3 @ 1.02% (-0.064 -0.06)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.09%
0-1 @ 7.57% (0.113 0.11)
1-2 @ 6.63% (-0.131 -0.13)
0-2 @ 4.21% (-0.051 -0.05)
1-3 @ 2.46% (-0.117 -0.12)
2-3 @ 1.93% (-0.107 -0.11)
0-3 @ 1.56% (-0.063 -0.06)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 26.85%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Reading 0-4 Swansea
Saturday, July 29 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Swansea 0-2 Bristol Rovers
Tuesday, July 25 at 7pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Oxford Utd 1-0 Swansea
Friday, July 21 at 7.30pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Swansea 0-0 Brondby
Tuesday, July 11 at 4pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Swansea 3-2 West Brom
Monday, May 8 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Hull City 1-1 Swansea
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Peterborough 3-2 Birmingham
Saturday, July 29 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Cheltenham 2-3 Birmingham
Saturday, July 22 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Northampton 0-1 Birmingham
Wednesday, July 19 at 7.45pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Cartagena 1-2 Birmingham
Friday, July 14 at 7pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Solihull 0-1 Birmingham
Saturday, July 8 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Birmingham 1-2 Sheff Utd
Monday, May 8 at 3pm in Championship


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