Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 50.49%. A win for Blackpool had a probability of 25.1% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.59%) and 2-0 (8.77%). The likeliest Blackpool win was 0-1 (6.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.
-0.13) 
0.03) 
