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EFL Cup | Third Round
Sep 27, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
LNER Stadium
WH

Lincoln
0 - 1
West Ham


O'Connor (74')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Soucek (70')
Soucek (64')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Portsmouth 2-1 Lincoln
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Liverpool 3-1 West Ham
Sunday, September 24 at 2pm in Premier League

We said: Lincoln City 1-4 West Ham United

With West Ham expected to make widespread changes, Lincoln will fancy their chances of upsetting the odds in this contest. Nevertheless, the Hammers have a deep squad with minimal injuries, leading us to predict a comfortable victory for the Premier League side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Ham United win with a probability of 42.35%. A win for Lincoln City had a probability of 32.67% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Ham United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.94%) and 0-2 (6.85%). The likeliest Lincoln City win was 1-0 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for West Ham United in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for West Ham United.

Result
Lincoln CityDrawWest Ham United
32.67% (-0.119 -0.12) 24.99% (0.109 0.11) 42.35% (0.011999999999993 0.01)
Both teams to score 56.96% (-0.417 -0.42)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.67% (-0.521 -0.52)46.33% (0.523 0.52)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.39% (-0.493 -0.49)68.62% (0.494 0.49)
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.9% (-0.327 -0.33)27.1% (0.329 0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.52% (-0.429 -0.43)62.48% (0.432 0.43)
West Ham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.14% (-0.21599999999999 -0.22)21.87% (0.219 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.89% (-0.332 -0.33)55.11% (0.334 0.33)
Score Analysis
    Lincoln City 32.67%
    West Ham United 42.35%
    Draw 24.98%
Lincoln CityDrawWest Ham United
1-0 @ 7.74% (0.1 0.1)
2-1 @ 7.68% (-0.021999999999999 -0.02)
2-0 @ 5.05% (0.018 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.34% (-0.041 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.54% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-0 @ 2.2% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.09% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 32.67%
1-1 @ 11.76% (0.08 0.08)
0-0 @ 5.93% (0.13 0.13)
2-2 @ 5.84% (-0.056 -0.06)
3-3 @ 1.29% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.98%
0-1 @ 9.01% (0.14 0.14)
1-2 @ 8.94% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-2 @ 6.85% (0.061000000000001 0.06)
1-3 @ 4.53% (-0.031 -0.03)
0-3 @ 3.47% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.96% (-0.048 -0.05)
1-4 @ 1.72% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.32% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.12% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 42.35%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Portsmouth 2-1 Lincoln
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Derby 2-0 Lincoln
Tuesday, September 19 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Lincoln 1-1 Carlisle
Saturday, September 16 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 1-1 Lincoln
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Sheff Utd 0-0 Lincoln (2-3 pen.)
Wednesday, August 30 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Lincoln 3-0 Blackpool
Saturday, August 26 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Liverpool 3-1 West Ham
Sunday, September 24 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: West Ham 3-1 Backa Topola
Thursday, September 21 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: West Ham 1-3 Man City
Saturday, September 16 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Luton 1-2 West Ham
Friday, September 1 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brighton 1-3 West Ham
Saturday, August 26 at 5.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: West Ham 3-1 Chelsea
Sunday, August 20 at 4.30pm in Premier League


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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