Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 40.72%. A win for Lincoln City had a probability of 35.13% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.68%) and 2-0 (6.04%). The likeliest Lincoln City win was 1-2 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.