Although Mansfield may be plying their trade in the league below, they demonstrated in their penalty-shootout win over Sheffield Wednesday that they can compete with teams in the higher divisions.
Having won four of their five home matches this term, we think that the hosts will utilise home advantage to claim a narrow victory over Peterborough on Tuesday.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 51.29%. A win for Peterborough United had a probability of 26.01% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.21%) and 2-0 (7.62%). The likeliest Peterborough United win was 1-2 (6.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.36%).
-0.46) 
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