Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 42.12%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 30.7% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.6%) and 2-0 (7.82%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 0-1 (9.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Stoke City in this match.

Result
Stoke City	Draw	Gillingham
42.12%	27.18%	30.7%

Both teams to score 49.18%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.98%

56.02%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.89%

77.1%

Stoke City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.74%

26.26%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.62%

61.37%

Gillingham Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.69%

33.3%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.08%

69.92%

Score Analysis

Stoke City 42.11%

Gillingham 30.7%

Draw 27.17%

Stoke City	Draw	Gillingham
1-0 @ 11.69% 2-1 @ 8.6% 2-0 @ 7.82% 3-1 @ 3.83% 3-0 @ 3.48% 3-2 @ 2.11% 4-1 @ 1.28% 4-0 @ 1.17% Other @ 2.14% Total : 42.11%	1-1 @ 12.85% 0-0 @ 8.75% 2-2 @ 4.73% Other @ 0.85% Total : 27.17%	0-1 @ 9.62% 1-2 @ 7.07% 0-2 @ 5.29% 1-3 @ 2.59% 0-3 @ 1.94% 2-3 @ 1.73% Other @ 2.47% Total : 30.7%