SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 57%. A win for Manchester City Under-21s had a probability of 22.1% and a draw had a probability of 20.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.84%) and 1-0 (7.5%). The likeliest Manchester City Under-21s win was 1-2 (5.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Grimsby Town | Draw | Manchester City Under-21s |
57% ( 2.51) | 20.9% ( -1.03) | 22.1% ( -1.48) |
| Both teams to score 62.2% ( 1.72) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.61% ( 3.14) | 35.39% ( -3.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.58% ( 3.4) | 57.42% ( -3.4) |
| Grimsby Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.64% ( 1.79) | 12.36% ( -1.79) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.8% ( 3.63) | 38.2% ( -3.63) |
| Manchester City Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.97% ( 0.52) | 29.03% ( -0.52) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.07% ( 0.64) | 64.93% ( -0.63) |
| Score Analysis |
| Grimsby Town | Draw | Manchester City Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 9.7% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 7.84% ( -0.15)1-0 @ 7.5% ( -0.67)3-1 @ 6.76% ( 0.41)3-0 @ 5.47% ( 0.26)3-2 @ 4.18% ( 0.31)4-1 @ 3.53% ( 0.43)4-0 @ 2.86% ( 0.31)4-2 @ 2.19% ( 0.29)5-1 @ 1.48% ( 0.26)5-0 @ 1.2% ( 0.2)5-2 @ 0.91% ( 0.17)4-3 @ 0.9% ( 0.13)Other @ 2.5% Total : 57% | 1-1 @ 9.28% ( -0.69) 2-2 @ 6% ( 0.06)0-0 @ 3.59% ( -0.59)3-3 @ 1.72% ( 0.15)Other @ 0.31% Total : 20.9% | 1-2 @ 5.74% ( -0.34) 0-1 @ 4.44% ( -0.66)0-2 @ 2.74% ( -0.36)2-3 @ 2.47% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 2.37% ( -0.1)0-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.13)Other @ 3.21% Total : 22.1% |
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