Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 43.5%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 30.96% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.01%) and 0-2 (7.42%). The likeliest Salford City win was 1-0 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.
-1.03) 
1.03) 
