Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wigan Athletic win with a probability of 62.12%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Leicester City Under-21s had a probability of 16.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wigan Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.89%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.06%), while for a Leicester City Under-21s win it was 0-1 (5.11%). The actual scoreline of 7-1 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wigan Athletic would win this match.