SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United Under-21s win with a probability of 48.85%. A win for Leicester City Under-21s had a probability of 28.69% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.1%) and 2-0 (6.67%). The likeliest Leicester City Under-21s win was 1-2 (6.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Manchester United Under-21s | Draw | Leicester City Under-21s |
48.85% ( 0.38) | 22.45% ( 0.14) | 28.69% ( -0.52) |
| Both teams to score 63.77% ( -0.91) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.56% ( -1.04) | 36.44% ( 1.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.42% ( -1.14) | 58.58% ( 1.14) |
| Manchester United Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.71% ( -0.25) | 15.29% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56% ( -0.47) | 44% ( 0.47) |
| Leicester City Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.27% ( -0.85) | 24.73% ( 0.85) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.72% ( -1.2) | 59.28% ( 1.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Manchester United Under-21s | Draw | Leicester City Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 9.32% ( 0.09) 1-0 @ 7.1% ( 0.3)2-0 @ 6.67% ( 0.22)3-1 @ 5.83% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.17% ( 0.1)3-2 @ 4.08% ( -0.1)4-1 @ 2.74% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.96% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.91% ( -0.06)5-1 @ 1.03% ( -0.02)Other @ 4.05% Total : 48.85% | 1-1 @ 9.92% ( 0.18) 2-2 @ 6.51% ( -0.1)0-0 @ 3.78% ( 0.19)3-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.1)Other @ 0.35% Total : 22.45% | 1-2 @ 6.93% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 5.28% ( 0.14)0-2 @ 3.69% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.23% ( -0.1)2-3 @ 3.03% ( -0.12)0-3 @ 1.72% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 1.13% ( -0.07)2-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.63% Total : 28.69% |
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