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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 65.26%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for NEC had a probability of 14.75%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.86%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.48%), while for a NEC win it was 0-1 (4.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| AZ Alkmaar | Draw | NEC |
65.26% ( 0.27) | 19.97% ( -0.09) | 14.75% ( -0.19) |
| Both teams to score 50.92% ( -0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.58% ( -0.01) | 43.42% ( 0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.18% ( -0.01) | 65.81% ( 0) |
| AZ Alkmaar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.49% ( 0.07) | 12.5% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.49% ( 0.16) | 38.5% ( -0.16) |
| NEC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.2% ( -0.27) | 41.8% ( 0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.74% ( -0.23) | 78.26% ( 0.23) |
| Score Analysis |
| AZ Alkmaar | Draw | NEC |
| 2-0 @ 11.29% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 10.86% ( 0.03)2-1 @ 9.85% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 7.83% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 6.83% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 4.07% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 3.55% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.98% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 1.69% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.55% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.48% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.28% Total : 65.25% | 1-1 @ 9.48% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 5.23% ( 0)2-2 @ 4.3% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.97% Total : 19.98% | 0-1 @ 4.56% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 4.13% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 1.99% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.62% Total : 14.76% |
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