On the back of their victory last time out, NEC will feel that they can play with a sense of freedom against opponents who may feel the weight of expectation to capitalise on their fast start. Nevertheless, we are still backing the home side to prevail, potentially with a goal in either half.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 38.42%. A win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 35.86% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.45%) and 0-2 (6.35%). The likeliest Sparta Rotterdam win was 1-0 (8.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.
0.1) 
-0.01) 
