SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambuur win with a probability of 41.32%. A win for Vitesse had a probability of 34.94% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cambuur win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.27%) and 2-0 (5.92%). The likeliest Vitesse win was 1-2 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cambuur | Draw | Vitesse |
41.32% ( 0.2) | 23.74% ( -0.09) | 34.94% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 62.11% ( 0.32) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.1% ( 0.42) | 39.9% ( -0.42) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.74% ( 0.44) | 62.26% ( -0.43) |
| Cambuur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.38% ( 0.27) | 19.62% ( -0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.43% ( 0.43) | 51.57% ( -0.43) |
| Vitesse Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.26% ( 0.14) | 22.74% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.59% ( 0.2) | 56.41% ( -0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cambuur | Draw | Vitesse |
| 2-1 @ 8.76% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.27% ( -0.08)2-0 @ 5.92% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 4.76% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 3.52% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 3.21% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.94% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.44% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 1.31% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.2% Total : 41.32% | 1-1 @ 10.76% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 6.49% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 4.46% ( -0.09)3-3 @ 1.74% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.74% | 1-2 @ 7.97% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 6.61% ( -0.1)0-2 @ 4.89% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 3.94% ( 0)2-3 @ 3.2% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 2.42% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.46% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.19% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.27% Total : 34.94% |
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