AZ's dominance in this fixture means that it is hard to envisage any other result than a victory for them here. We are backing the away side to cruise to all three points in what should be a largely one-sided affair. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 58.8%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Cambuur had a probability of 20.42%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.52%) and 0-1 (8.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.42%), while for a Cambuur win it was 2-1 (5.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.

Result
Cambuur	Draw	AZ Alkmaar
20.42% ( -0.02)	20.78% ( -0.14)	58.8% ( 0.16)

Both teams to score 59.97% (

0.47)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.86% (

0.64)

37.13% (

-0.64)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.66% (

0.68)

59.33% (

-0.69)

Cambuur Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.46% (

0.35)

31.53% (

-0.35)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.07% (

0.4)

67.92% (

-0.4)

AZ Alkmaar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.59% (

0.25)

12.4% (

-0.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.7% (

0.51)

38.29% (

-0.52)

Score Analysis

Cambuur 20.42%

AZ Alkmaar 58.8%

Draw 20.78%

Cambuur	Draw	AZ Alkmaar
2-1 @ 5.44% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 4.51% ( -0.1) 2-0 @ 2.61% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.18% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 2.09% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 1% ( -0) Other @ 2.59% Total : 20.42%	1-1 @ 9.42% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 5.67% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 3.91% ( -0.12) 3-3 @ 1.52% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.25% Total : 20.78%	1-2 @ 9.83% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 8.52% ( -0.1) 0-1 @ 8.16% ( -0.18) 1-3 @ 6.84% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 5.93% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.95% ( 0.07) 1-4 @ 3.57% ( 0.06) 0-4 @ 3.09% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 2.06% ( 0.05) 1-5 @ 1.49% ( 0.04) 0-5 @ 1.29% ( 0.02) Other @ 4.07% Total : 58.8%