Judging by the league table, there is very little separating Saturday's opponents, and the clash could easily swing either way. That said, we are backing the hosts to narrowly pip their visitors to all three points come the end of the 90 minutes.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 49.99%. A win for Heerenveen had a probability of 25.76% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 2-0 (8.48%). The likeliest Heerenveen win was 0-1 (6.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for FC Utrecht in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for FC Utrecht.
0.12) 
-0.01) 
