SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 54.44%. A win for FC Volendam had a probability of 23.24% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.82%) and 0-2 (8.39%). The likeliest FC Volendam win was 2-1 (6.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Heerenveen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Volendam | Draw | Heerenveen |
23.24% ( -0.14) | 22.32% ( 0.03) | 54.44% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 58.64% ( -0.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.24% ( -0.29) | 40.76% ( 0.29) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.85% ( -0.3) | 63.14% ( 0.3) |
| FC Volendam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.94% ( -0.28) | 31.06% ( 0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.63% ( -0.33) | 67.37% ( 0.33) |
| Heerenveen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.06% ( -0.06) | 14.94% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.65% ( -0.12) | 43.34% ( 0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Volendam | Draw | Heerenveen |
| 2-1 @ 6.03% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 5.43% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 3.17% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 2.35% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.24% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 1.24% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.79% Total : 23.24% | 1-1 @ 10.31% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.73% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 4.64% ( 0.06)3-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.22% Total : 22.31% | 1-2 @ 9.81% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 8.82% ( 0.1)0-2 @ 8.39% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 6.21% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 5.31% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 3.63% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 2.95% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 2.53% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.73% ( -0.02)1-5 @ 1.12% ( -0.01)0-5 @ 0.96% ( 0)Other @ 2.98% Total : 54.44% |
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