Volendam have struggled for goals all-season long, but we can see them finding the back of the net here en route to a share of the spoils come the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Volendam win with a probability of 41.14%. A win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 34.32% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Volendam win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.22%) and 2-0 (6.34%). The likeliest SBV Excelsior win was 1-2 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.42%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Volendam would win this match.

Result
FC Volendam	Draw	SBV Excelsior
41.14% ( 0.03)	24.54% ( -0.01)	34.32% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 59.02% (

0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.13% (

0.05)

43.86% (

-0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.75% (

0.05)

66.25% (

-0.05)

FC Volendam Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.62% (

0.04)

21.38% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.63% (

0.06)

54.36% (

-0.06)

SBV Excelsior Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.07% (

0.01)

24.93% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.43% (

0.02)

59.56% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

FC Volendam 41.14%

SBV Excelsior 34.32%

Draw 24.54%

FC Volendam	Draw	SBV Excelsior
2-1 @ 8.81% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.22% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.34% 3-1 @ 4.53% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.26% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.15% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.75% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.26% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.21% ( 0) Other @ 2.6% Total : 41.14%	1-1 @ 11.42% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.12% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.33% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.46% ( 0) Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.54%	1-2 @ 7.93% ( -0) 0-1 @ 7.4% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.14% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.67% 2-3 @ 2.83% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.38% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.28% ( 0) 2-4 @ 0.98% ( 0) Other @ 2.69% Total : 34.32%