SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 69.52%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for Almere City had a probability of 13.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.6%) and 1-0 (8.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.02%), while for an Almere City win it was 1-2 (3.78%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Feyenoord | Draw | Almere City |
69.52% ( -0.33) | 17.41% ( 0.14) | 13.08% ( 0.2) |
| Both teams to score 55.51% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.84% ( -0.17) | 35.16% ( 0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.84% ( -0.19) | 57.16% ( 0.19) |
| Feyenoord Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.89% ( -0.12) | 9.11% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 69.07% ( -0.28) | 30.93% ( 0.29) |
| Almere City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.07% ( 0.18) | 38.92% ( -0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.35% ( 0.17) | 75.65% ( -0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Feyenoord | Draw | Almere City |
| 2-0 @ 10.17% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.6% ( 0.02)1-0 @ 8.5% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 8.13% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 7.67% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 4.87% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 4.59% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 3.62% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 2.33% ( -0.04)5-1 @ 2.2% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 2.17% ( -0.01)5-2 @ 1.04% ( -0.01)6-0 @ 0.93% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.7% Total : 69.51% | 1-1 @ 8.02% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 4.53% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 3.55% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.14% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.18% Total : 17.41% | 1-2 @ 3.78% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 3.35% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 1.58% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.43% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 1.19% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.76% Total : 13.08% |
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