SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Go Ahead Eagles win with a probability of 46.7%. A win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 30.22% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Go Ahead Eagles win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.44%) and 2-0 (6.63%). The likeliest Sparta Rotterdam win was 1-2 (7.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Go Ahead Eagles | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
46.7% ( 0.2) | 23.08% ( 0.03) | 30.22% ( -0.23) |
| Both teams to score 62.52% ( -0.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.48% ( -0.26) | 38.52% ( 0.26) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.18% ( -0.27) | 60.81% ( 0.27) |
| Go Ahead Eagles Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.15% ( -0.02) | 16.85% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.14% ( -0.04) | 46.86% ( 0.04) |
| Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.19% ( -0.27) | 24.8% ( 0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.61% ( -0.38) | 59.38% ( 0.37) |
| Score Analysis |
| Go Ahead Eagles | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
| 2-1 @ 9.24% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 7.44% ( 0.09)2-0 @ 6.63% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 5.48% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.93% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 3.82% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.44% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.75% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.7% ( -0.01)Other @ 4.25% Total : 46.7% | 1-1 @ 10.37% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 6.44% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 4.18% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 1.78% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.31% Total : 23.07% | 1-2 @ 7.23% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 5.83% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 4.06% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.36% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 2.99% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 1.89% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.17% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.04% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.64% Total : 30.22% |
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