The teams have struggled of late heading into this one, and that could give rise to a tense affair. That said, we just about fancy the hosts to come away with all three points at the sound of the final whistle.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Groningen win with a probability of 48.71%. A win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 27.29% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Groningen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.35%) and 2-0 (7.89%). The likeliest Fortuna Sittard win was 1-2 (6.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.
0.64) 
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