SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 66.47%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Heerenveen had a probability of 16.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (7.79%) and 0-2 (7.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.14%), while for a Heerenveen win it was 2-1 (4.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-8 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Heerenveen | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
16.21% ( -0.51) | 17.32% ( -0.19) | 66.47% ( 0.71) |
| Both teams to score 64.81% ( -0.46) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 72.63% ( -0.06) | 27.36% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 52.05% ( -0.08) | 47.95% ( 0.08) |
| Heerenveen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.25% ( -0.59) | 29.75% ( 0.59) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.18% ( -0.72) | 65.81% ( 0.72) |
| PSV Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.26% ( 0.13) | 7.74% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 72.45% ( 0.32) | 27.55% ( -0.32) |
| Score Analysis |
| Heerenveen | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
| 2-1 @ 4.33% ( -0.1) 1-0 @ 2.79% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.24% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 1.75% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 1.69% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.41% Total : 16.21% | 1-1 @ 7.14% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.54% ( -0.09)0-0 @ 2.3% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.91% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.42% Total : 17.32% | 1-2 @ 9.14% ( 0) 1-3 @ 7.79% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 7.54% ( 0.12)0-3 @ 6.43% ( 0.15)0-1 @ 5.89% ( 0.06)1-4 @ 4.99% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 4.73% ( -0.05)0-4 @ 4.11% ( 0.12)2-4 @ 3.02% ( -0.01)1-5 @ 2.55% ( 0.05)0-5 @ 2.1% ( 0.07)2-5 @ 1.55% ( 0)3-4 @ 1.22% ( -0.02)1-6 @ 1.09% ( 0.03)Other @ 4.32% Total : 66.47% |
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