With the teams neck and neck in the standings, we are anticipating a fairly even contest with chances at both ends. We can also see NEC just about managing to pip their visitors to all three points at the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 50.89%. A win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 25.27% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.65%) and 2-0 (8.47%). The likeliest SBV Excelsior win was 0-1 (6.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.

Result
NEC	Draw	SBV Excelsior
50.89% ( -0.09)	23.84% ( -0.03)	25.27% ( 0.12)

Both teams to score 55.82% (

0.23)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.43% (

0.25)

45.57% (

-0.25)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.1% (

0.24)

67.9% (

-0.23)

NEC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.06% (

0.06)

17.94% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.23% (

0.1)

48.77% (

-0.1)

SBV Excelsior Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.02% (

0.23)

31.98% (

-0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.56% (

0.27)

68.43% (

-0.26)

Score Analysis

NEC 50.9%

SBV Excelsior 25.27%

Draw 23.83%

NEC	Draw	SBV Excelsior
1-0 @ 9.86% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 9.65% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.47% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 5.53% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.85% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.15% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 2.38% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.08% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.35% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.58% Total : 50.9%	1-1 @ 11.23% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.74% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 5.5% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.83%	0-1 @ 6.54% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 6.41% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 3.73% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.44% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.09% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 1.42% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.65% Total : 25.27%