Excelsior have often been found wanting in front of goal this term, and we expect their attacking woes to continue here. We also fancy the visitors to come out on top by the odd goal in what should be a hard-fought contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Go Ahead Eagles win with a probability of 43.84%. A win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 32.25% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Go Ahead Eagles win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.94%) and 0-2 (6.55%). The likeliest SBV Excelsior win was 2-1 (7.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.

Result
SBV Excelsior	Draw	Go Ahead Eagles
32.25% ( 0.02)	23.91% ( 0)	43.84% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 60.56% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.45% (

-0.02)

41.55% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.05% (

-0.02)

63.95% (

0.02)

SBV Excelsior Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.95%

25.05% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.28% (

-0)

59.72% (

Go Ahead Eagles Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.79% (

-0.01)

19.2% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.11% (

-0.03)

50.89% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

SBV Excelsior 32.25%

Go Ahead Eagles 43.84%

Draw 23.91%

SBV Excelsior	Draw	Go Ahead Eagles
2-1 @ 7.61% ( 0) 1-0 @ 6.66% ( 0) 2-0 @ 4.61% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.51% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.9% 3-0 @ 2.13% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.22% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1% Other @ 2.62% Total : 32.25%	1-1 @ 10.98% 2-2 @ 6.28% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.81% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.59% ( -0) Other @ 0.25% Total : 23.91%	1-2 @ 9.07% ( -0) 0-1 @ 7.94% ( 0) 0-2 @ 6.55% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.99% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3.6% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.45% ( -0) 1-4 @ 2.06% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.49% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.42% ( -0) Other @ 3.28% Total : 43.84%