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E
Eredivisie | Gameweek 25
Mar 11, 2023 at 3.30pm UK
JenS Vesting
E

Emmen
2 - 0
Excelsior

Romeny (63', 71')
Zivkovic (68')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Lamprou (56'), Driouech (63'), Goudmijn (79')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Volendam 3-1 Emmen
Saturday, March 4 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Excelsior 1-4 Sparta
Sunday, March 5 at 11.15am in Eredivisie

We said: Emmen 1-0 SBV Excelsior

The teams have been largely underwhelming in front of goal of late, so a low-scoring affair could be on the cards here. That said, we are backing the home side to narrowly come out on top at the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Emmen win with a probability of 70.03%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 11.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Emmen win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.08%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.65%), while for a SBV Excelsior win it was 0-1 (3.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Emmen in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Emmen.

Result
EmmenDrawSBV Excelsior
70.03% (-0.55 -0.55) 18.2% (0.291 0.29) 11.77% (0.26 0.26)
Both teams to score 48.28% (-0.147 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.56% (-0.646 -0.65)42.44% (0.648 0.65)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.16% (-0.648 -0.65)64.84% (0.649 0.65)
Emmen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.07% (-0.319 -0.32)10.93% (0.32 0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.87% (-0.712 -0.71)35.13% (0.713 0.71)
SBV Excelsior Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.21% (0.029000000000003 0.03)45.79% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.44% (0.023999999999997 0.02)81.56% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Emmen 70.03%
    SBV Excelsior 11.77%
    Draw 18.2%
EmmenDrawSBV Excelsior
2-0 @ 12.26% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
1-0 @ 11.08% (0.18 0.18)
2-1 @ 9.58% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
3-0 @ 9.05% (-0.1 -0.1)
3-1 @ 7.07% (-0.072 -0.07)
4-0 @ 5.01% (-0.123 -0.12)
4-1 @ 3.91% (-0.093 -0.09)
3-2 @ 2.76% (-0.026 -0.03)
5-0 @ 2.22% (-0.085 -0.09)
5-1 @ 1.73% (-0.065 -0.07)
4-2 @ 1.53% (-0.035 -0.04)
Other @ 3.84%
Total : 70.03%
1-1 @ 8.65% (0.142 0.14)
0-0 @ 5.01% (0.143 0.14)
2-2 @ 3.74% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 18.2%
0-1 @ 3.91% (0.115 0.12)
1-2 @ 3.38% (0.058 0.06)
0-2 @ 1.53% (0.046 0.05)
2-3 @ 0.97% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 11.77%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Volendam 3-1 Emmen
Saturday, March 4 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Emmen 2-2 Go Ahead Eagles
Sunday, February 26 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Groningen 1-1 Emmen
Saturday, February 18 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Emmen 0-1 Sittard
Saturday, February 11 at 8pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: PSV 3-1 Emmen
Wednesday, February 8 at 5.45pm in KNVB Beker
Last Game: Emmen 2-2 Vitesse
Saturday, February 4 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Excelsior 1-4 Sparta
Sunday, March 5 at 11.15am in Eredivisie
Last Game: Groningen 3-0 Excelsior
Saturday, February 25 at 3.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Excelsior 0-3 Nijmegen
Sunday, February 19 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: AZ 5-0 Excelsior
Friday, February 10 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Excelsior 0-0 RKC Waalwijk
Saturday, February 4 at 8pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Excelsior 1-4 Ajax
Sunday, January 29 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie


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