Over the last five Eredivisie gameweeks, only Twente have amassed more points than Sparta Rotterdam, but their record away from home has left a lot to be desired. Nonetheless, we expect the visitors to come away with a point from what should be a keenly-contested affair.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 50.69%. A win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 25.35% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.64%) and 2-0 (8.49%). The likeliest Sparta Rotterdam win was 0-1 (6.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.
0.1) 
-0.01) 
