SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Astana win with a probability of 46.46%. A win for KF Ballkani had a probability of 27.11% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Astana win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.05%) and 2-0 (8.72%). The likeliest KF Ballkani win was 0-1 (8.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Astana | Draw | KF Ballkani |
46.46% ( -0.08) | 26.42% ( -0.01) | 27.11% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 49.36% ( 0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.19% ( 0.1) | 54.8% ( -0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.89% ( 0.09) | 76.11% ( -0.09) |
| Astana Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.44% ( 0.01) | 23.56% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.38% ( 0.01) | 57.62% ( -0.01) |
| KF Ballkani Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.58% ( 0.13) | 35.42% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.81% ( 0.13) | 72.18% ( -0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Astana | Draw | KF Ballkani |
| 1-0 @ 12.06% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 9.05% 2-0 @ 8.72% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 4.36% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.2% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.26% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.58% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.52% ( -0)Other @ 2.71% Total : 46.46% | 1-1 @ 12.52% 0-0 @ 8.34% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 4.7% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.86% Total : 26.42% | 0-1 @ 8.66% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.5% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 4.5% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.25% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.63% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.56% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.03% Total : 27.11% |
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