Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ferencvaros win with a probability of 65.75%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Cukaricki had a probability of 14.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ferencvaros win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.86%) and 1-0 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.06%), while for a Cukaricki win it was 1-2 (4.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ferencvaros would win this match.
0.05) 
-0.02) 
