Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ferencvaros win with a probability of 59.57%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Hamrun Spartans had a probability of 18.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ferencvaros win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.65%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.55%), while for a Hamrun Spartans win it was 0-1 (5.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ferencvaros would win this match.
1.58) 
-0.5) 
