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G
Europa Conference League | Knockout Round Playoffs | 2nd Leg
Feb 23, 2023 at 8pm UK
Ghelamco Arena
Q

Gent
1 - 0
Qarabag

Gent win 5-3 on penalties
Orban (74')
Depoitre (51'), Fortuna (77'), Cuypers (85')
FT
(aet)

Vesovic (14'), Gurbanli (41'), Romao (50')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Gent 2-0 Leuven
Sunday, February 19 at 3pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Qarabag 1-0 Gent
Thursday, February 16 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League

We say: Gent 1-1 Qarabag FK (Qarabag FK to win 2-1 on aggregate)

This is bound to be another close game due to how tight things were in the first leg, and that could create some nervy moments for both. While Gent will fancy their chances at scoring at least once at home, it would not be a shock to see the visitors also get on the scoresheet to cause a surprise. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gent win with a probability of 42.87%. A win for Qarabag FK had a probability of 32% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gent win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.99%) and 2-0 (7.05%). The likeliest Qarabag FK win was 0-1 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%).

Result
GentDrawQarabag FK
42.87% (0.025999999999996 0.03) 25.12% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01) 32% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 56.22% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.82% (0.019999999999996 0.02)47.18% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.59% (0.02 0.02)69.41% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Gent Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.02% (0.019000000000005 0.02)21.98% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.72% (0.031000000000006 0.03)55.28% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Qarabag FK Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.06%27.94% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.44% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)63.56% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Score Analysis
    Gent 42.87%
    Qarabag FK 32%
    Draw 25.12%
GentDrawQarabag FK
1-0 @ 9.3% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
2-1 @ 8.99% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 7.05% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 4.54% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 3.56% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.89% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 1.72% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.35% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 1.1% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 42.87%
1-1 @ 11.86%
0-0 @ 6.14% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.73% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.23% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.12%
0-1 @ 7.83% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.56% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 4.99% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 3.22% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-3 @ 2.44% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 2.12% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-4 @ 1.03% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 32%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Gent 2-0 Leuven
Sunday, February 19 at 3pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Qarabag 1-0 Gent
Thursday, February 16 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Westerlo 3-3 Gent
Saturday, February 11 at 3pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Gent 2-3 Genk
Sunday, February 5 at 5.30pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Cercle Brugge 3-2 Gent
Sunday, January 29 at 3pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Sint-Truiden 0-3 Gent
Sunday, January 22 at 8pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Qarabag 1-0 Gent
Thursday, February 16 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Qarabag 1-1 Freiburg
Thursday, November 3 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Nantes 2-1 Qarabag
Thursday, October 27 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Qarabag 0-0 Olympiacos
Thursday, October 13 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Olympiacos 0-3 Qarabag
Thursday, October 6 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Qarabag 3-0 Nantes
Thursday, September 15 at 5.45pm in Europa League


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