SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Qarabag FK win with a probability of 37.35%. A win for HJK Helsinki had a probability of 35.35% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Qarabag FK win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.07%) and 0-2 (6.69%). The likeliest HJK Helsinki win was 1-0 (10.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Qarabag FK in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Qarabag FK.
| Result | ||
| HJK Helsinki | Draw | Qarabag FK |
35.35% ( -0.89) | 27.31% ( -0.34) | 37.35% ( 1.23) |
| Both teams to score 49.9% ( 1.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.37% ( 1.28) | 55.63% ( -1.28) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.21% ( 1.03) | 76.79% ( -1.03) |
| HJK Helsinki Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.03% ( 0.08) | 29.97% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.92% ( 0.09) | 66.08% ( -0.09) |
| Qarabag FK Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.25% ( 1.37) | 28.75% ( -1.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.41% ( 1.68) | 64.59% ( -1.68) |
| Score Analysis |
| HJK Helsinki | Draw | Qarabag FK |
| 1-0 @ 10.38% ( -0.5) 2-1 @ 7.8% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 6.26% ( -0.29)3-1 @ 3.13% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.51% ( -0.11)3-2 @ 1.95% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 0.94% ( -0)Other @ 2.37% Total : 35.34% | 1-1 @ 12.94% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 8.62% ( -0.43)2-2 @ 4.86% ( 0.15)Other @ 0.89% Total : 27.31% | 0-1 @ 10.74% ( -0.12) 1-2 @ 8.07% ( 0.23)0-2 @ 6.69% ( 0.18)1-3 @ 3.35% ( 0.22)0-3 @ 2.78% ( 0.18)2-3 @ 2.02% ( 0.14)1-4 @ 1.05% ( 0.11)Other @ 2.65% Total : 37.35% |
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