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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austria Vienna win with a probability of 40.44%. A win for Lech Poznan had a probability of 36.98% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Austria Vienna win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.76%) and 0-2 (5.03%). The likeliest Lech Poznan win was 2-1 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.59%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lech Poznan | Draw | Austria Vienna |
36.98% ( -0.01) | 22.57% ( 0.02) | 40.44% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 66.97% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.28% ( -0.1) | 33.71% ( 0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.46% ( -0.11) | 55.54% ( 0.11) |
| Lech Poznan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.08% ( -0.05) | 18.92% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.58% ( -0.08) | 50.41% ( 0.07) |
| Austria Vienna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.59% ( -0.05) | 17.4% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.16% ( -0.09) | 47.83% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lech Poznan | Draw | Austria Vienna |
| 2-1 @ 7.98% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 5.48% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 4.56% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.43% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.87% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.53% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.84% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.61% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.06% 4-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.67% Total : 36.98% | 1-1 @ 9.59% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.98% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 3.29% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 2.26% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.46% Total : 22.57% | 1-2 @ 8.38% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 5.76% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 5.03% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 4.88% ( -0)2-3 @ 4.07% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.93% ( 0)1-4 @ 2.14% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.78% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.28% ( -0)3-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.21% Total : 40.44% |
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