Europa Conference League | Second Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 26, 2023 at 7pm UK
Alcufer Stadion
Savitskiy (55'), Karpovich (85')
Sadovnichiy (45+3'), Parkhomenko (79')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Olawale (45+2')
Coverage of the Europa Conference League Second Qualifying Round clash between Neman and Balzan.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Neman win with a probability of 48.01%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Balzan had a probability of 25.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Neman win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.18%) and 2-0 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.37%), while for a Balzan win it was 0-1 (8.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Neman would win this match.
| Result |
| Neman | Draw | Balzan |
48.01% ( 0) | 26.11% | 25.87% |
| Both teams to score 49.3% ( 0.01) |
| 45.58% ( 0) | 54.42% ( -0) |
| 24.21% ( 0.01) | 75.79% ( -0) |
| 77.32% ( 0.01) | 22.68% ( -0) |
