SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maccabi Tel Aviv win with a probability of 62.03%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Zorya Luhansk had a probability of 17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maccabi Tel Aviv win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.53%) and 1-2 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.92%), while for a Zorya Luhansk win it was 1-0 (4.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Maccabi Tel Aviv would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Zorya Luhansk | Draw | Maccabi Tel Aviv |
17% ( 0.02) | 20.97% ( 0.05) | 62.03% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 52.79% ( -0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.45% ( -0.17) | 43.54% ( 0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.06% ( -0.17) | 65.94% ( 0.17) |
| Zorya Luhansk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.02% ( -0.08) | 38.97% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.3% ( -0.08) | 75.7% ( 0.08) |
| Maccabi Tel Aviv Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.51% ( -0.07) | 13.49% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.49% ( -0.14) | 40.5% ( 0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Zorya Luhansk | Draw | Maccabi Tel Aviv |
| 1-0 @ 4.95% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 4.68% ( 0)2-0 @ 2.33% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.47% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 1.47% ( -0)Other @ 2.1% Total : 17% | 1-1 @ 9.92% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 5.26% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 4.68% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.13% Total : 20.97% | 0-2 @ 10.54% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 10.53% ( 0.06)1-2 @ 9.94% ( -0)0-3 @ 7.05% ( -0)1-3 @ 6.64% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 3.53% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 3.33% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 3.13% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.57% ( -0.01)0-5 @ 1.41% ( -0.01)1-5 @ 1.33% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.03% Total : 62.02% |
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