SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 40.09%. A win for Hacken had a probability of 36.88% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.26%) and 2-0 (5.27%). The likeliest Hacken win was 1-2 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.06%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | Hacken |
40.09% ( -0.17) | 23.04% ( -0) | 36.88% ( 0.17) |
| Both teams to score 65.13% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.91% ( 0.05) | 36.1% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.8% ( 0.06) | 58.2% ( -0.05) |
| Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.44% ( -0.05) | 18.56% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.19% ( -0.09) | 49.82% ( 0.09) |
| Hacken Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.98% ( 0.11) | 20.03% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.77% ( 0.17) | 52.23% ( -0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | Hacken |
| 2-1 @ 8.48% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 6.26% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 5.27% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 4.76% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.83% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.96% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.61% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.25% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.67% Total : 40.09% | 1-1 @ 10.06% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.82% ( 0)0-0 @ 3.72% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 2.05% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.39% Total : 23.03% | 1-2 @ 8.09% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 5.98% ( 0)0-2 @ 4.81% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 4.34% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 3.65% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.58% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.74% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.47% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.04% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.18% Total : 36.88% |
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