SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 55.7%. A win for Shakhtar Donetsk had a probability of 22.68% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.17%) and 2-0 (8.14%). The likeliest Shakhtar Donetsk win was 1-2 (5.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.82%). The actual scoreline of 7-1 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Feyenoord | Draw | Shakhtar Donetsk |
55.7% ( 0.9) | 21.61% ( 0.49) | 22.68% ( -1.4) |
| Both teams to score 60.39% ( -3.69) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.88% ( -4.03) | 38.11% ( 4.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.61% ( -4.42) | 60.38% ( 4.42) |
| Feyenoord Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.36% ( -1.07) | 13.64% ( 1.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.19% ( -2.18) | 40.81% ( 2.17) |
| Shakhtar Donetsk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.93% ( -3.37) | 30.07% ( 3.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.8% ( -4.24) | 66.2% ( 4.23) |
| Score Analysis |
| Feyenoord | Draw | Shakhtar Donetsk |
| 2-1 @ 9.78% ( 0.25) 1-0 @ 8.17% ( 1.21)2-0 @ 8.14% ( 0.92)3-1 @ 6.5% ( -0.09)3-0 @ 5.41% ( 0.41)3-2 @ 3.9% ( -0.45)4-1 @ 3.24% ( -0.18)4-0 @ 2.69% ( 0.1)4-2 @ 1.94% ( -0.31)5-1 @ 1.29% ( -0.13)5-0 @ 1.07% Other @ 3.58% Total : 55.7% | 1-1 @ 9.82% ( 0.63) 2-2 @ 5.88% ( -0.42)0-0 @ 4.1% ( 0.74)3-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.35)Other @ 0.26% Total : 21.61% | 1-2 @ 5.9% ( -0.17) 0-1 @ 4.93% ( 0.49)0-2 @ 2.96% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 2.36% ( -0.31)2-3 @ 2.35% ( -0.41)0-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.1)Other @ 2.99% Total : 22.68% |
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