SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 55.09%. A win for Union SG had a probability of 23.28% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.92%) and 2-0 (7.9%). The likeliest Union SG win was 1-2 (6.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Liverpool | Draw | Union SG |
55.09% ( -0.02) | 21.63% ( 0.01) | 23.28% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 61.17% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.55% ( -0.03) | 37.44% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.33% ( -0.03) | 59.67% ( 0.03) |
| Liverpool Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.39% ( -0.01) | 13.6% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.26% ( -0.02) | 40.74% ( 0.02) |
| Union SG Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.81% ( -0.01) | 29.19% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.86% ( -0.01) | 65.13% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Liverpool | Draw | Union SG |
| 2-1 @ 9.73% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.92% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.9% ( 0)3-1 @ 6.47% ( -0)3-0 @ 5.25% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.98% ( -0)4-1 @ 3.23% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.62% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.99% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.29% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.05% ( -0)Other @ 3.67% Total : 55.09% | 1-1 @ 9.75% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.99% ( -0)0-0 @ 3.97% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.64% ( -0)Other @ 0.28% Total : 21.63% | 1-2 @ 6.01% ( 0) 0-1 @ 4.89% ( 0)0-2 @ 3.01% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.47% 2-3 @ 2.46% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.24% Other @ 3.22% Total : 23.28% |
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.JPG?w=300&h=225&auto=compress,format&fit=fillmax&fill=blur "Liverpool injury, suspension list vs. Union SG")
