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NL
Europa League | Group Stage
Sep 30, 2021 at 5.45pm UK
Stadio Diego Armando Maradona (Napoli)

Napoli
2 - 3
Spartak Moscow

Elmas (1'), Osimhen (90+4')
Di Lorenzo (45+8'), Koulibaly (65'), Fabian (78'), Manolas (85')
Rui (29')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Promes (55', 90'), Ignatov (80')
Ponce (43'), Litvinov (45+1'), Sobolev (45+8'), Caufriez (65'), Lucas (77'), Vitoria (86'), Maximenko (89'), Umyarov (90+10')
Caufriez (82')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 55.89%. A win for Spartak Moscow had a probability of 22.13% and a draw had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.9%) and 2-0 (8.62%). The likeliest Spartak Moscow win was 1-2 (5.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.

Result
NapoliDrawSpartak Moscow
55.89%21.99%22.13%
Both teams to score 58.31%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.48%40.52%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.1%62.9%
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.61%14.39%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.71%42.29%
Spartak Moscow Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.11%31.89%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.66%68.34%
Score Analysis
    Napoli 55.89%
    Spartak Moscow 22.13%
    Draw 21.98%
NapoliDrawSpartak Moscow
2-1 @ 9.86%
1-0 @ 8.9%
2-0 @ 8.62%
3-1 @ 6.37%
3-0 @ 5.57%
3-2 @ 3.64%
4-1 @ 3.09%
4-0 @ 2.7%
4-2 @ 1.76%
5-1 @ 1.2%
5-0 @ 1.05%
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 55.89%
1-1 @ 10.16%
2-2 @ 5.63%
0-0 @ 4.59%
3-3 @ 1.39%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 21.98%
1-2 @ 5.81%
0-1 @ 5.25%
0-2 @ 3%
1-3 @ 2.21%
2-3 @ 2.15%
0-3 @ 1.14%
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 22.13%

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