SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Lyon | 7 | 7 | 13 |
| 6 | Rennes | 7 | 6 | 11 |
| 7 | Monaco | 7 | -2 | 11 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Gaziantep | 6 | 4 | 11 |
| 7 | Fenerbahce | 5 | 9 | 10 |
| 8 | Trabzonspor | 6 | 0 | 10 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 45.13%. A win for Fenerbahce had a probability of 33.98% and a draw had a probability of 20.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.59%) and 3-2 (5%). The likeliest Fenerbahce win was 1-2 (6.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Rennes | Draw | Fenerbahce |
45.13% ( 0.07) | 20.9% ( 0.02) | 33.98% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 72.87% ( -0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 74.18% ( -0.12) | 25.83% ( 0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 54.01% ( -0.15) | 45.99% ( 0.16) |
| Rennes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.46% ( -0.02) | 12.54% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.42% ( -0.05) | 38.58% ( 0.05) |
| Fenerbahce Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.32% ( -0.09) | 16.68% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.45% ( -0.16) | 46.56% ( 0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rennes | Draw | Fenerbahce |
| 2-1 @ 8.08% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 5.59% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 5% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 4.51% ( 0.03)1-0 @ 4.34% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 3.12% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.9% ( 0)4-2 @ 2.6% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.62% ( 0.01)4-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.2% ( -0)5-2 @ 1.08% ( -0)Other @ 3.54% Total : 45.13% | 1-1 @ 7.78% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 7.23% ( -0)3-3 @ 2.99% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 2.09% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.81% Total : 20.9% | 1-2 @ 6.97% ( 0) 2-3 @ 4.32% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 4.16% ( -0.01)0-1 @ 3.75% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 3.36% ( 0)0-3 @ 2% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.93% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.86% ( -0.01)3-4 @ 1.34% ( -0.01)Other @ 4.3% Total : 33.98% |
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