MX23RW : Saturday, April 27 19:03:21
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Saturday, April 27
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R
Europa League | Group Stage
Nov 9, 2023 at 5.45pm UK
Stade de la Route de Lorient
P

Rennes
3 - 1
Panathinaikos

Rieder (9'), Salah (65'), Blas (70' pen.)
Bourigeaud (33'), Wooh (55'), Santamaria (81')
Belocian (33')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Ioannidis (34' pen.)
Vagiannidis (44'), Perez (52')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nice 2-0 Rennes
Sunday, November 5 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lamia 1-2 Panathinaikos
Saturday, November 4 at 3.30pm in Greek Superleague

We said: Rennes 2-1 Panathinaikos

Rennes have struggled to live up to the standards they set last season, but Genesio's men are still in a brilliant position to qualify into the knockout stages of the Europa League. Panathinaikos have enjoyed an impressive run of results domestically, but we feel the Greek Super League leaders will be slightly outclassed at Roazhon Park on Thursday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 45.44%. A win for Panathinaikos had a probability of 29.24% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (7.82%). The likeliest Panathinaikos win was 0-1 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rennes would win this match.

Result
RennesDrawPanathinaikos
45.44% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09) 25.32% (0.030000000000001 0.03) 29.24% (0.065000000000001 0.07)
Both teams to score 54.19% (-0.050000000000004 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.8% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)49.2% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.74% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07)71.26% (0.071999999999989 0.07)
Rennes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.35% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)21.65% (0.075999999999997 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.23% (-0.117 -0.12)54.77% (0.115 0.12)
Panathinaikos Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.16% (0.0050000000000097 0.01)30.84% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.88% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)67.12% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Rennes 45.44%
    Panathinaikos 29.24%
    Draw 25.31%
RennesDrawPanathinaikos
1-0 @ 10.21% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.2% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.82% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.69% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-0 @ 3.99% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.76% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.8% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.53% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.06% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 45.44%
1-1 @ 12.01% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.68% (0.022 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.41% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-3 @ 1.08% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.31%
0-1 @ 7.85% (0.028 0.03)
1-2 @ 7.07% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.62% (0.016 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.77% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 2.12% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-3 @ 1.81% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 29.24%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Nice 2-0 Rennes
Sunday, November 5 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Rennes 1-1 Strasbourg
Sunday, October 29 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Panathinaikos 1-2 Rennes
Thursday, October 26 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Lorient 2-1 Rennes
Sunday, October 22 at 12pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Rennes 1-3 PSG
Sunday, October 8 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Villarreal 1-0 Rennes
Thursday, October 5 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Lamia 1-2 Panathinaikos
Saturday, November 4 at 3.30pm in Greek Superleague
Last Game: Panathinaikos 5-0 Panserraikos
Sunday, October 29 at 5.30pm in Greek Superleague
Last Game: Panathinaikos 1-2 Rennes
Thursday, October 26 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Panathinaikos 5-0 Atromitos
Sunday, October 8 at 7.30pm in Greek Superleague
Last Game: Maccabi Haifa 0-0 Panathinaikos
Thursday, October 5 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Panathinaikos 2-2 PAOK
Sunday, October 1 at 5.30pm in Greek Superleague


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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