With confidence high after posting the club's biggest Serie A victory since 2006, Roma should be able to navigate a tricky away fixture to start their Group G campaign. Although Jose Mourinho may make several changes, the Giallorossi's squad depth is greater these days and Sheriff will come up short on home soil.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sheriff Tiraspol win with a probability of 37.83%. A win for Roma had a probability of 32.33% and a draw had a probability of 29.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sheriff Tiraspol win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.46%) and 2-0 (7.45%). The likeliest Roma win was 0-1 (12.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Roma in this match.
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