SM
| Current League A1 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Croatia | 6 | 2 | 13 |
| 2 | Denmark | 6 | 4 | 12 |
| 3 | France | 6 | -2 | 5 |
| 4 | Austria | 6 | -4 | 4 |
| Current League D2 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Estonia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Malta | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | San Marino | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austria win with a probability of 58.11%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Estonia had a probability of 18.42%.
The most likely scoreline for an Austria win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.19%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.12%), while for a Estonia win it was 0-1 (6.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Austria would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Austria | Draw | Estonia |
58.11% ( -0.15) | 23.47% ( 0.09) | 18.42% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 47.7% ( -0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.25% ( -0.26) | 51.74% ( 0.26) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.48% ( -0.23) | 73.51% ( 0.23) |
| Austria Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.44% ( -0.15) | 17.56% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.9% ( -0.26) | 48.1% ( 0.25) |
| Estonia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.86% ( -0.09) | 42.14% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.44% ( -0.07) | 78.56% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Austria | Draw | Estonia |
| 1-0 @ 12.87% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 11.19% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 9.68% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 6.49% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 5.61% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 2.82% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 2.44% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.42% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.05% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 0.98% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.54% Total : 58.1% | 1-1 @ 11.12% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 7.4% ( 0.08)2-2 @ 4.18% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.77% Total : 23.47% | 0-1 @ 6.39% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 4.81% ( 0)0-2 @ 2.76% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 1.38% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.87% Total : 18.42% |
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