SM
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | England | 6 | 16 | 16 |
| 2 | Ukraine | 7 | 3 | 13 |
| 3 | Italy | 6 | 4 | 10 |
| 4 | North Macedonia | 6 | -7 | 7 |
| 5 | Malta | 7 | -16 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a England win with a probability of 84.19%. A draw had a probability of 11.3% and a win for Malta had a probability of 4.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a England win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (13.29%) and 1-0 (10.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.31%), while for a Malta win it was 0-1 (1.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 14.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for England in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for England.
| Result | ||
| England | Draw | Malta |
84.19% ( 0.8) | 11.26% ( -0.33) | 4.54% ( -0.47) |
| Both teams to score 37.61% ( -2.31) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.81% ( -0.89) | 36.19% ( 0.88) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.69% ( -0.98) | 58.3% ( 0.98) |
| England Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.76% ( -0.02) | 6.23% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 76.46% ( -0.05) | 23.53% ( 0.04) |
| Malta Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 40.11% ( -2.46) | 59.88% ( 2.46) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 9.41% ( -1.31) | 90.59% ( 1.31) |
| Score Analysis |
| England | Draw | Malta |
| 2-0 @ 14.37% ( 0.6) 3-0 @ 13.29% ( 0.54)1-0 @ 10.36% ( 0.44)4-0 @ 9.23% ( 0.37)2-1 @ 7.37% ( -0.27)3-1 @ 6.82% ( -0.26)5-0 @ 5.12% ( 0.2)4-1 @ 4.73% ( -0.18)5-1 @ 2.63% ( -0.1)6-0 @ 2.37% ( 0.09)3-2 @ 1.75% ( -0.21)6-1 @ 1.21% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 1.21% ( -0.15)7-0 @ 0.94% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.78% Total : 84.18% | 1-1 @ 5.31% ( -0.19) 0-0 @ 3.73% ( 0.16)2-2 @ 1.89% ( -0.23)Other @ 0.33% Total : 11.26% | 0-1 @ 1.91% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 1.36% ( -0.16)Other @ 1.27% Total : 4.54% |
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