Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Scotland win with a probability of 86.57%. A draw had a probability of 9.9% and a win for Cyprus had a probability of 3.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Scotland win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (14.24%) and 4-0 (10.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.62%), while for a Cyprus win it was 0-1 (1.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 14.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Scotland would win this match.
